Weekly outlook · 2026-W43 · built Monday from real candles (no AI)

The week ahead: where the stops sit

For each market: last week's high, low and close, how big the week was compared with the weeks before, and the untouched daily highs and lows that price may run for. Two scenarios each — not a prediction.

Gold Silver EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY Nasdaq 100 Dow Jones 30 Bitcoin

XAUUSD · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Gold

Last week high4216.9812 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low4073.3112 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close4168.77-0.54% on the week · middle of the range

Last week range143.6772% of the 8-week average

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	4216.98	Mon 12 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	4399.53	Fri 18 Sep	A swing high from Fri 18 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	4073.31	Wed 14 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.
Below	3942 – 3996	24 Jun · 30 Jun · 17 Jul · 29 Jul	Price reached this zone 4 times and no candle closed below 3942.48. Sell stops sit below it.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 4216.98, then 4399.53. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 4073.31, then 3942 – 3996. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

Gold today, with the sessions →

XAGUSD · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Silver

Last week high61.44212 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low55.38412 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close57.043-6.31% on the week · lower third of the range

Last week range6.058121% of the 8-week average

Silver daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	62.082	Fri 02 Oct	Friday's high, not traded through yet: the nearest pool of buy stops.
Above	67.549	Tue 22 Sep	A swing high from Tue 22 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	54.748 – 56.628	24 Jun · 17 Jul · 28 Jul · 3 Aug · 14 Oct	Price reached this zone 5 times and no candle closed below 54.748. Sell stops sit below it.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 62.082, then 67.549. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 54.748 – 56.628. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

Silver today, with the sessions →

EURUSD · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

EUR/USD

Last week high1.1269612 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low1.1112912 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close1.12393+0.49% on the week · upper third of the range

Last week range0.01567126% of the 8-week average

EUR/USD daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	1.12696	Fri 16 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	1.16543	Wed 09 Sep	A swing high from Wed 09 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	1.11129	Wed 14 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 1.12696, then 1.16543. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 1.11129. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

EUR/USD today, with the sessions →

GBPUSD · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

GBP/USD

Last week high1.3371712 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low1.3136912 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close1.33279+0.84% on the week · upper third of the range

Last week range0.02348172% of the 8-week average

GBP/USD daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	1.33717	Fri 16 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	1.35680	Wed 09 Sep	A swing high from Wed 09 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	1.31369	Wed 14 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 1.33717, then 1.35680. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 1.31369. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

GBP/USD today, with the sessions →

USDJPY · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

USD/JPY

Last week high158.94912 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low157.54612 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close157.977-0.09% on the week · lower third of the range

Last week range1.40351% of the 8-week average

USD/JPY daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	158.949	Wed 14 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	160.392	Wed 02 Sep	A swing high from Wed 02 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	157.546	Thu 15 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.
Below	156.376	Wed 30 Sep	A swing low from Wed 30 Sep, not traded through since.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 158.949, then 160.392. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 157.546, then 156.376. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

USD/JPY today, with the sessions →

NAS100 · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Nasdaq 100

Last week high31064.0012 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low29070.4012 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close29183.40-5.59% on the week · lower third of the range

Last week range1993.60216% of the 8-week average

Nasdaq 100 daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	31366.00	Tue 06 Oct	Tuesday's high, not traded through yet: the nearest pool of buy stops.
Below	29070.40	Fri 16 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.
Below	28746 – 28879	24 Aug · 2 Sep · 16 Sep	Price reached this zone 3 times and no candle closed below 28745.50. Sell stops sit below it.
Below	27058.40	Wed 29 Jul	A swing low from Wed 29 Jul, not traded through since.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 31366.00. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 29070.40, then 28746 – 28879, then 27058.40. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

Nasdaq 100 today, with the sessions →

US30 · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Dow Jones 30

Last week high52588.0012 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week low51357.0012 Oct – 16 Oct 2026

Last week close51977.00+0.56% on the week · middle of the range

Last week range1231.00105% of the 8-week average

Dow Jones 30 daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	52588.00	Fri 16 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	53759.20	Thu 03 Sep	A swing high from Thu 03 Sep, not traded through since.
Below	50629.00	Thu 08 Oct	Thursday's low, not traded through yet: the nearest pool of sell stops.
Below	49705.60	Thu 11 Jun	A swing low from Thu 11 Jun, not traded through since.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 52588.00, then 53759.20. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 50629.00, then 49705.60. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

Dow Jones 30 today, with the sessions →

BTCUSD · D1 · last week 12 Oct – 18 Oct 2026

Bitcoin

Last week high84261.9912 Oct – 18 Oct 2026

Last week low79676.0212 Oct – 18 Oct 2026

Last week close82006.85-2.00% on the week · middle of the range

Last week range4585.9764% of the 8-week average

Bitcoin daily chart with untouched levels

Side	Level	Formed	Why it matters
Above	84261.99	Mon 12 Oct	Last week's high: buy stops above the top of last week.
Above	87249.05	Fri 02 Oct	A swing high from Fri 02 Oct, not traded through since.
Below	79676.02	Thu 15 Oct	Last week's low: sell stops below the bottom of last week.
Below	74887.50	Tue 15 Sep	A swing low from Tue 15 Sep, not traded through since.

Sweep above

Price runs up to 84261.99, then 87249.05. Watch whether it closes back below (the sweep fails) or keeps closing above (acceptance).

Sweep below

Price runs down to 79676.02, then 74887.50. Watch whether it closes back above (stops taken, buyers return) or keeps closing below.

Bitcoin today, with the sessions →

These are levels where stops are likely to sit, not entries. Price can go through any of them. Always use a stop loss and keep risk small — a common rule is 1% of the account or less on a single trade. Education only — not financial advice.